Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)
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 |
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Velo Clube |
|
Nova Iguaçu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.81 |
4.02 |
|
 |
1.86 |
2.88 |
4.93 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.75 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.03 |
2.98 |
4.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.82) |
2.86 ↓
(3.1) |
4.15 ↓
(4.42) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Velo Clube
45.7% | Draw
32.2% | Nova Iguaçu
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velo Clube, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Velo Clube - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Matheus Firmino ⚽,
- 35', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Augusto ⚽,
Preview
Velo Clube has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nova Iguaçu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Velo Clube is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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