Match Info

Copa FGF - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Boca do Lobo (Pelotas)


	EC Pelotas		São Gabriel

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.1	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.1 (3.1)	3.49 (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Pelotas
44.8%

Draw
29.2%

São Gabriel
26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for EC Pelotas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for São Gabriel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Gabriel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

EC Pelotas - São Gabriel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Pelotas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Gabriel is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

São Gabriel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, São Gabriel has had a series of away games.

Pelotas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pelotas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelotas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
02.11.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude 2	7:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gaúcho - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	EC Pelotas - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	EC Pelotas - Internacional 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWW
- EC São Gabriel
Brazilian Gaucho 3
08.11.25	Riograndense - São Gabriel	8:0 ✺
25.10.25	SC Rio Grande - São Gabriel	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
05.10.25	Brasil de Pelotas - São Gabriel	9:0 ✺
01.10.25	São Gabriel - Juventude 2	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Gaúcho - São Gabriel	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 55 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
15.06.24	EC Pelotas - São Gabriel	4:1
09.06.24	São Gabriel - EC Pelotas	0:2
13.05.23	EC Pelotas - São Gabriel	1:0
15.05.22	EC Pelotas - São Gabriel	2:1

EC Pelotas - São Gabriel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide