Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	EC Primavera		EC Lemense

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.3	4.3
	1.69	3.49	4.84
	1.73	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	4.67 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
53.8%

Draw
26.7%

EC Lemense
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

EC Lemense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Lemense than the current prediction. (+1%)

EC Primavera - EC Lemense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Primavera is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Primavera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Primavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC Primavera	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Atlético Monte Azul - EC Primavera	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	EC Primavera - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- EC Lemense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.23	Piracicaba - EC Lemense	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Lemense - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	EC Noroeste - EC Lemense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	EC Lemense - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
01.02.23	Comercial SP - EC Lemense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.08.22	EC Primavera - EC Lemense	1:1
09.07.22	EC Lemense - EC Primavera	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
13.02.22	EC Lemense - EC Primavera	1:1

EC Primavera - EC Lemense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide