Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	EC Primavera		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.76	3.29
	3.28	1.95	3.69	Watch
	2.45	2.62	3.24
	2.14	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.15)	2.56 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
36%

Draw
36.5%

Piracicaba
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC Primavera's form might have worsened.

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Primavera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

EC Primavera - Piracicaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Levy (G) 3. Afonso 6. Barreto 9. Brunao 2. Cleiton 5. Junior Caicara (C) 4. Luan Martins 10. Matheus Anjos 7. Renatinho 11. Victor J. 8. Vitor Braga	32. Reynaldo (G) 8. Carlos Manuel (C) 11. David Ribeiro 23. Gustavo L. 5. Hebling G. 6. Joao Victor 22. Leo Santos 4. Luis Felipe 2. Michel 9. Paulo Marcelo 10. Serginho
Substitutes
12. Ariel 19. Augusto M. 13. Dhouglas 18. Henan 16. Jean Silva 17. Josiel 21. Kauan C. 23. Mineiro K. 15. Nelsinho 14. Paulinho 20. Raphael Luz 22. Vinicius Ferrari (G)	14. Almir Luan 20. Anderson Magrao 1. Carlao (G) 25. Djavan 7. Erik Bessa 13. Gabriel Vidal 3. Iago 15. Matheus Carvalho 17. Messias 21. Natan 16. Rodrigo Carioca 18. Wesley Fraga

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Luan Martins 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Brunao ⚽,
44', Cleiton 🟨,
45+5', Matheus Anjos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheus Anjos ↓, Jean Silva ↑,
46', Otavio K. ↓, Dhouglas ↑,
56', Carlos Manuel 🟨,
67', Renatinho ↓, Nelsinho ↑,
67', Vitor Braga ↓, Paulinho ↑,
74', Gustavo L. ↓, Almir Luan ↑,
74', Serginho ↓, Matheus Carvalho ↑,
74', Leo Santos ↓, Erik Bessa ↑,
76', Barreto 🟨,
79', Cleiton 🟥,
81', Brunao ↓, Josiel ↑,
82', Carlos Manuel ↓, Rodrigo Carioca ↑,
82', Paulo Marcelo ↓, Anderson Magrao ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Primavera won 0.

Primavera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Piracicaba is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Piracicaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Primavera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Primavera won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.09.25	EC Primavera - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	União São João - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	EC Primavera - Paulista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.09.25	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Piracicaba - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Osasco Sporting - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Piracicaba - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
10.08.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:2
04.07.25	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:0
24.02.24	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	1:1
29.07.23	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.02.23	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	2:2

EC Primavera - Piracicaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide