Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	EC São Bernardo		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.15	3.05	2.17
	3.4	3.21	2.28
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.06	3.3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (4.08)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.18 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
28.6%

Draw
29.3%

Rio Claro
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.1%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC São Bernardo's performance.

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Claro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Claro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EC São Bernardo - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs)).

EC São Bernardo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rio Claro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Claro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.04.21	Sertãozinho - EC São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	EC São Bernardo - Lemense FC	0:0 ✺
26.04.21	Red Bull Brasil - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
22.04.21	Taubaté - EC São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLLT
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.04.21	Rio Claro - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Água Santa - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
26.04.21	Rio Claro - Lemense FC	1:4 ✺
24.04.21	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Rio Claro	1:0 ✺
22.04.21	Sertãozinho - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW

EC São Bernardo - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide