Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca C - Round 9

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	EC Vera Cruz		União Central

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.64	4	4.41	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	3.73 ↓ (4)	4.51 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Vera Cruz
55.5%

Draw
24.3%

União Central
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Vera Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC Vera Cruz's form might have worsened.

União Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Vera Cruz than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Vera Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Central than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Feliciano (Pen),
76', 2 - 0, Feliciano ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Vera Cruz is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vera Cruz
Brazilian Carioca C
30.06.24	Campos - EC Vera Cruz	1:0 ✺
24.06.24	Paraty - EC Vera Cruz	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	EC Vera Cruz - Santa Cruz RJ	1:1 ✺
10.06.24	Niteroiense - EC Vera Cruz	0:1 ✺
02.06.24	EC Vera Cruz - Uni Souza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWT
- União Central FC
Brazilian Carioca C
01.07.24	União Central - Paraty	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Santa Cruz RJ - União Central	1:1 ✺
17.06.24	União Central - Niteroiense	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Uni Souza - União Central	4:0 ✺
02.06.24	União Central - EC Resende	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WTLLT

EC Vera Cruz - União Central: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide