Match Info

Carioca C - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday


	União Central		Paraty

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.47	2.06
	2.85	3.74	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.91)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Central
31.5%

Draw
25%

Paraty
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraty than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

União Central - Paraty Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Christian G. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Paraty might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, União Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Central FC
Brazilian Carioca C
28.07.25	Búzios - União Central	1:7 ✺
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4 ✺
14.07.25	Duque Caxiense - União Central	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	União Central - EC Resende	4:3 ✺
29.06.25	Juventus RJ - União Central	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT
- SE Paraty
Brazilian Carioca C
04.08.25	Duque Caxiense - Paraty	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Paraty - EC Resende	4:1 ✺
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	Paraty - Juventus RJ	0:1 ✺
07.07.25	CAAC Brasil - Paraty	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca C
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4
01.07.24	União Central - Paraty	2:1

União Central - Paraty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide