Match Info

TUNISIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday


	EGS Gafsa		Msaken

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.5
	1.37	3.95	7
	1.34	4.17	8.07
	1.38	4.05	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.63)	4.04 ↑ (3.25)	7.34 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EGS Gafsa
65.5%

Draw
22.3%

Msaken
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EGS Gafsa's performance.

Msaken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Msaken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EGS Gafsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Msaken than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Msaken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

EGS Gafsa - Msaken Predictions

Users Predictions: EGS Gafsa will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 5).

Gafsa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

M'saken is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gafsa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gafsa to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue 2
21.12.22	El Makarem de Mahdia - EGS Gafsa	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	EGS Gafsa - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Kalaâ - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
23.11.22	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	EGS Gafsa - Sporting Ben Arous	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW
- CS Msaken
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.12.22	Msaken - Zarzis	1:4 ✺
11.12.22	SS Sfaxien - Msaken	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Msaken - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	El Makarem de Mahdia - Msaken	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Msaken - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
07.03.21	Msaken - EGS Gafsa	2:1

EGS Gafsa - Msaken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide