Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 17

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Zarzis Stadium (Zarzis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Zarzis		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.75
	1.46	3.65	7
	1.49	3.71	7.48
	1.48	3.64	7.34	Watch
	1.5	3.4	7.5
	1.45	3.6	7.6
	1.46	3.65	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)	7.24 ↓ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarzis
62.1%

Draw
25.3%

EGS Gafsa
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

25.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

24.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarzis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Zarzis - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Charfi S. (G) 4. Bahri O. 21. Belghith M. 6. Khalfa K. 26. Kiendrebeogo C. 7. Rached Y. 28. Rjili L. 24. Romdhane H. H. 8. Sghaier R. 9. Snana Y. 27. Tajourii A.	1. Jeridi R. (G) 23. Agbre N. 12. Ajmani A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 15. Mejri S. 14. Messai M. 20. Mhamedi H.
Substitutes
11. Bousoukaya M. Y. 10. Douihech N. 34. Hakem M. 16. Hazgui M. A. (G) 19. Kelechi N. 29. Rahmani M.	17. Al Omrani A. 21. Barbati A. 11. Ben Hassine F. 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 9. Mbarek H. 10. Mbarek H. 25. Traore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Bahri O. 🟨,
26', Mhamedi H. 🟨,
36', Ben Chaieb H. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Tajourii A. ⚽, Snana Y. (A),
45+4', Kiendrebeogo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Sghaier R. 🟨,
61', Sghaier R. ↓, Douihech N. ↑,
64', Mhamedi H. ↓, Mbarek H. ↑,
64', Ajmani A. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
70', Rached Y. 🟨,
70', Rached Y. ↓, Rahmani M. ↑,
79', Rjili L. 🟨,
79', Rjili L. ↓, Hakem M. ↑,
85', Messai M. ↓, Ben Hassine F. ↑,
90+1', Rahmani M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zarzis won 2.

Zarzis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Gafsa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Gafsa have a series of home games.

In this match Zarzis is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zarzis won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Zarzis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Zarzis
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
19.01.25	Stade Tunisien - Zarzis	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Zarzis	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Zarzis - Soliman	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Zarzis - Ben Guerdane	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Tataouine - Zarzis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTT
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
19.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Gabès - EGS Gafsa	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
25.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.09.24	EGS Gafsa - Zarzis	1:3
Tunisian Ligue 2
01.04.23	EGS Gafsa - Zarzis	1:1
23.11.22	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:2
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.02.16	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:1
13.09.15	EGS Gafsa - Zarzis	2:3
15.02.15	EGS Gafsa - Zarzis	3:1
14.08.14	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	2:0

Zarzis - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide