Match Info

Date: 30 March 2021, Tuesday


	ES Sétif		Aïn Mlila

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	8
	1.45	4	6.25
	1.42	4.1	6.2
	1.44	3.55	7.4
	1.44	4.16	8.42
	1.42	3.75	8.5
	1.46	3.7	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	3.89 ↓ (4.24)	7.52 ↑ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Sétif
64.2%

Draw
23.6%

Aïn Mlila
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.3%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

11.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aïn Mlila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ES Sétif that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aïn Mlila than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aïn Mlila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ES Sétif - Aïn Mlila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to CAF Champions League (Qualification) and 4 in the zone Promotion to CAF Confederations Cup (Qualification)).

ES Sétif is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aïn M'lila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aïn M'lila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ES Sétif is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches ES Sétif won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-1.

Including matches at home between the teams ES Sétif won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
26.03.21	Saoura - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	ES Sétif - Tlemcen	4:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
17.03.21	Al-Ahly Benghazi - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
10.03.21	ES Sétif - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
05.03.21	Biskra - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLTL
- AS Aïn Mlila
Algerian Ligue 1
21.03.21	Aïn Mlila - Saoura	1:1 ✺
17.03.21	Oran - Aïn Mlila	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Aïn Mlila - Biskra	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	ASO Chlef - Aïn Mlila	2:3 ✺
27.02.21	Aïn Mlila - Tlemcen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.11.20	Aïn Mlila - ES Sétif	0:3
Algerian Ligue 1
07.12.19	ES Sétif - Aïn Mlila	4:0
30.01.19	ES Sétif - Aïn Mlila	4:0
25.08.18	Aïn Mlila - ES Sétif	1:0

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