Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	ES Sétif		USM Alger

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	2.92	3.3
	2.02	3.10	3.83	Watch
	2.25	2.97	3.35
	2.25	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.45 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Sétif
42.2%

Draw
31%

USM Alger
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

ES Sétif - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ES Sétif will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Saidi Z. (G) 23. Biramahire A. 7. Bouchama S. 26. Boudechicha A. 2. Bouziane L. 6. Daibeche O. 10. Djahnit A. (C) 3. Naim A. 19. Sillah G. 11. Toual K. 20. Zerrouki M.	25. Benbot O. (G) 14. Benzaza B. 24. Bouderbala M. 23. Chetti I. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 27. Ghacha H. 4. Malone Junior C. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S. 30. Tendeng A.
Substitutes
14. Arib A. 22. Bekakchi I. 4. Boubekeur I. 71. Bouguerri O. 17. Boukerma M. 1. Bousseder T. (G) 5. Douar Y. 8. Ferhani H. 18. Lakdja I.	3. Atmania S. 9. Benayad R. 17. Bousseliou K. 7. Khaldi A. 11. Likonza G. 12. Loucif H. 31. Mechid D. E. 16. Soufi K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
36', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Djahnit A. (Pen),
79', 🟨,
83', 1 - 3, Bousseliou K. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

ES Sétif may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ES Sétif could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, ES Sétif won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
04.10.25	ES Sétif - ASO Chlef	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Mostaganem - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Rouissat - ES Sétif	3:0 ✺
11.09.25	ES Sétif - Constantine	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	El Bayadh - ES Sétif	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWT
- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
25.10.25	USM Alger - AFAD Djékanou	3:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
04.10.25	Constantine - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	USM Alger - El Bayadh	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Saoura - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	USM Alger - Khenchela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
16.06.25	USM Alger - ES Sétif	1:0
21.12.24	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:1
19.03.24	USM Alger - ES Sétif	2:0
14.11.23	ES Sétif - USM Alger	2:1
08.04.23	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:0
03.12.22	USM Alger - ES Sétif	1:1
17.06.22	ES Sétif - USM Alger	3:1

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