Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade 8 Mai 1945 (Sétif)

Where to Watch on TV:


Algeria	ENTV


	ES Sétif		Mostaganem

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.7
	1.63	3.4	6.38
	1.67	3.17	6.39	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5.75
	1.65	3.3	6.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	6.08 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Sétif
56.5%

Draw
28.3%

Mostaganem
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Sétif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ES Sétif - Mostaganem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Saidi Z. (G) 4. Boubekeur I. 26. Boudechicha A. 6. Daibeche O. 8. Hamek M. 27. Hamidi K. 7. Nkaya W. 13. Omfia M. 29. Salifu M. 11. Toual K. 20. Zerrouki M.	1. Hannane A. (G) 27. Bahoussi A. 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 2. Boualleg A. 21. Gaagaa A. 9. Haroun A. 7. Motrani Z. 26. Sryer B. 12. Zeffane M.
Substitutes
22. Bakashi I. 1. Bencheikh El Fegoun H. (G) 9. Benlebna M. 71. Bougri O. 17. Boukerma M. 12. Derder A. 5. Douar Y. 19. Gnahoua D. 3. Naim A.	40. Aziria M. (G) 10. El Moudene A. 31. Laireche F. H. 28. Namani A. 11. Othmani A. 42. Ramadan R. 33. Slimane A. 20. Toumi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Hamek M. ↓, Boukerma M. ↑,
60', Sryer B. ↓, Othmani A. ↑,
60', 🟨,
61', Sryer B. ↓, Othmani A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Boukerma M. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 2 - 0, Zerrouki M. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Hamidi K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

ES Sétif may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ES Sétif is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, ES Sétif won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	ES Setif	3	1	0	2	5:3	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
20.02.26	ES Sétif - Rouissat	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Constantine - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	ES Sétif - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Saoura - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	ES Sétif - Khenchela	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLW
- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
21.02.26	Mostaganem - Kabylie	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Rouissat - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mostaganem - Oran	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Constantine - Mostaganem	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Mostaganem - Olympique Akbou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
29.09.25	Mostaganem - ES Sétif	1:0
14.03.25	Mostaganem - ES Sétif	1:0
18.10.24	ES Sétif - Mostaganem	1:0

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