Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	East Bengal		Churchill Brothers

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.52	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	3.44 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Bengal
46.9%

Draw
26.8%

Churchill Brothers
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.2%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Bengal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Churchill Brothers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Bengal than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with East Bengal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Churchill Brothers than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Churchill Brothers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Bengal - Churchill Brothers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Bengal Club
Indian I-League
23.02.20	TRAU - East Bengal	2:4 ✺
17.02.20	Indian Arrows - East Bengal	1:3 ✺
13.02.20	East Bengal - Punjab	1:1 ✺
07.02.20	East Bengal - Aizawl	0:1 ✺
01.02.20	East Bengal - Indian Arrows	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTLL
- Churchill Brothers
Indian I-League
22.02.20	Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:3 ✺
19.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Real Kashmir	2:1 ✺
15.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Aizawl	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Chennai City	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Churchill Brothers - NEROCA	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indian I-League
04.01.20	Churchill Brothers - East Bengal	1:0
17.02.19	East Bengal - Churchill Brothers	1:1
20.12.18	Churchill Brothers - East Bengal	1:2
08.01.18	Churchill Brothers - East Bengal	1:1
16.12.17	East Bengal - Churchill Brothers	3:2
07.03.17	East Bengal - Churchill Brothers	1:2
18.01.17	Churchill Brothers - East Bengal	0:2

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