Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)


	East Fife		Albion Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.25
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.93	3.7	3.68
	1.86	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
48.9%

Draw
25.3%

Albion Rovers
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

East Fife - Albion Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches East Fife won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

East Fife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently East Fife have a series of guest games.

Recently Albion have a series of home games.

East Fife will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches East Fife won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-19.

Including matches at home between the teams East Fife won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League Two
02.09.23	Dumbarton - East Fife	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Elgin City - East Fife	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
15.08.23	Dundee 2 - East Fife	0:1 penalties ✺
Scottish League Two
12.08.23	Stranraer - East Fife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWT
- Albion Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup
15.08.23	Albion Rovers - Tranent Juniors	2:0 ✺
Scottish Lowland League
05.08.23	Albion Rovers - Hearts B	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
01.08.23	St. Mirren 2 - Albion Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish League Cup
29.07.23	Albion Rovers - Kilmarnock	1:2 ✺
25.07.23	Albion Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
29.04.23	East Fife - Albion Rovers	2:1
11.02.23	Albion Rovers - East Fife	0:1
12.11.22	East Fife - Albion Rovers	2:3
13.08.22	Albion Rovers - East Fife	0:1
Club Friendly
25.06.19	East Fife - Albion Rovers	1:0
Scottish League One
21.04.18	Albion Rovers - East Fife	1:0
24.02.18	East Fife - Albion Rovers	2:0

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