Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)


	Stranraer		East Fife

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.05	3	2.04
	3.17	3.4	2.09	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.21	3.38	2.11
	3.05	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.96)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	2.09 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
28.7%

Draw
28%

East Fife
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.3%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stranraer's performance.

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and East Fife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stranraer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stranraer - East Fife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kane S. (G) 2. Robertson S. 5. Ross C. 4. Cummins A. 19. Ecrepont F. 23. Grant M. 16. Trialist 8. Gallagher G. 11. Russell M. 21. Foster R. 18. Guthrie M.	21. McFarlane L. (G) 2. Murdoch S. 5. Easton B. 19. Munro A. 15. Peggie R. 7. Norey J. 6. McManus C. 10. Trouten A. 4. Millar K. 11. Healy J. 9. Shepherd S.
Substitutes
3. Brindley T. 25. Edgar R. 13. Lane J. (G) 24. Lang D. 22. McIntosh S. 17. McKnight K. 26. Reid L.	12. Blake N. 3. Briggs L. 17. Docherty S. 1. Fleming A. (G) 18. Higginbotham K. 23. Jones R. 16. Laaref A. 8. Slattery P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Healy J. ⚽, Norey J. (A),
18', Norey J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Trouten A. ⚽, Shepherd S. (A),
45', Gallagher G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ecrepont F. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
46', Guthrie M. ↓, Brindley T. ↑,
57', Norey J. ↓, Higginbotham K. ↑,
59', Lang D. ↓, Edgar R. ↑,
64', Trialist A ↓, McIntosh S. ↑,
72', Shepherd S. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
72', Healy J. ↓, Laaref A. ↑,
87', Cummins A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 2.

Recent matches Stranraer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

East Fife is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stranraer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

East Fife will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:45 (average 1.4:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Stranraer won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
14.01.25	Peterhead - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Stranraer - Clyde	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
10.12.24	Spartans - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTTW
- East Fife
Scottish League Two
11.01.25	East Fife - Clyde	3:0 ✺
08.01.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	2:4 ✺
04.01.25	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	East Fife - Spartans	5:1 ✺
14.12.24	Peterhead - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
09.11.24	East Fife - Stranraer	1:2
14.09.24	Stranraer - East Fife	2:1
23.03.24	East Fife - Stranraer	2:1
27.01.24	Stranraer - East Fife	0:1
21.10.23	East Fife - Stranraer	4:0
12.08.23	Stranraer - East Fife	1:1
15.04.23	East Fife - Stranraer	8:0

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