Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Eastern AA		Kaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.4
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.58	4	4.95
	1.62	4	4.54	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4.5
	1.59	4.2	4.64	Watch
	1.6	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.39)	4 ↓ (4.61)	4.65 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern AA
57.4%

Draw
22.9%

Kaya
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern AA's form might have worsened.

Kaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern AA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaya than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Eastern AA - Kaya Predictions

Users Predictions: Eastern AA will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yapp H. (G) 2. Hall C. 3. Kozubayev T. 21. Almazan D. 22. Leung Kwun-Chung (C) 27. Gondra M. K. 32. Lam H. 14. Yu J. 7. Baffoe N. 72. Narh S. 9. Bertomeu V.	1. Birrou W. (G) 44. Menzi A. (C) 3. Saito A. 12. Diano M. 15. Casambre M. 14. Komaki S. 25. Esso E. 88. Yamazaki K. 10. Horikoshi D. 7. Bedic J. 77. Rey G.
Substitutes
88. Cheung M. H. 44. Gurung P. 19. Jojo A. C. 77. Lee C. 16. Leung C. 26. Liu F. (G) 23. Ma H. W. 17. Ng Y. H. 10. Sa F. 28. Siu C. 11. Wong H. A. 30. Wong Tsz-Ho	8. Angeles M. 24. Basindanan S. 30. del Rosario L. 40. Deyto P. (G) 17. Lopez R. 13. Melliza J. 20. Park Y. 23. Rota S. 6. Swainston M.
Coaches
Losada	Hoshide Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Rey G. 🟨,
30', Yapp H. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Horikoshi D. (Pen),
41', Lam H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Narh S. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
59', Bedic J. 🟨,
59', Rey G. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
63', Birrou W. 🟨,
66', Leung Kwun-Chung ↓, Wong Tsz-Ho ↑,
67', Bertomeu V. ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
67', Hall C. ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
69', Bedic J. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
73', Diano M. ↓, Park Y. ↑,
76', Lam H. ↓, Leung C. ↑,
85', Komaki S. ↓, Melliza J. ↑,
85', Yamazaki K. ↓, Swainston M. ↑,
86', Casambre M. ↓, Rota S. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Lopez R. (Pen),
90+5', Sa F. 🟨,

Preview

Eastern AA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaya is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eastern AA have a series of guest games.

In this match Eastern AA is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eastern AA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern AA
Hong Kong Premier League
02.11.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
25.10.24	Kaya - Eastern AA	1:2 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
19.10.24	Eastern AA - Hong Kong FC	4:0 ✺
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
13.10.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
06.10.24	Lee Man - Eastern AA	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWLW
- Kaya FC
AFC Champions League 2
25.10.24	Kaya - Eastern AA	1:2 ✺
Philippines PFL
19.10.24	Kaya - Maharlika Manila	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Kaya - Sydney	1:4 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
26.09.24	Buriram United - Kaya	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
25.10.24	Kaya - Eastern AA	1:2

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