Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Petrosport Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Sabahi M. (Egy)


	Eastern Company		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.49
	6.4	3.8	1.47
	5.2	3.75	1.55
	6.9	3.72	1.57
	5.8	3.9	1.5
	5.65	4.05	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↓ (8.4)	3.84 ↓ (4.35)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Company
15.4%

Draw
24%

Al Ahly Cairo
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

20.9%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.2%

24.5%

80.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Company has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Company than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastern Company that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	18.7%	65.6%

Eastern Company - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Eastern Company will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)).

Recent matches Eastern Company is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Ahly Cairo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Ahly Cairo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Ahly Cairo is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eastern Company won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Company SC
Egyptian Premier League
08.08.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Eastern Company	1:1 ✺
04.08.22	Eastern Company - ENPPI	0:2 ✺
31.07.22	Ceramica Cleopatra - Eastern Company	0:1 ✺
26.07.22	Al Masry - Eastern Company	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Eastern Company - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 TLWWT
- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Cup
14.08.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Misr El-Makasa	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
10.08.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
03.08.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
15.06.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Eastern Company	4:1

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