Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	El Mokawloon El Arab		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	3.90	1.41
	8.50	4.30	1.37	Watch
	8.20	4.15	1.48
	9.1	4.43	1.36	Watch
	7.30	4.05	1.47
	9.59	4.07	1.39
	6.80	4.00	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.03 ↑ (6.62)	4.13 ↑ (3.76)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Mokawloon El Arab
11.6%

Draw
22.6%

Al Ahly Cairo
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

24.7%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Ahly Cairo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Fawzi M. (G) 26. Kahraba 29. Kamal O. 3. Hamed M. 23. Ochaya J. (C) 14. Gamal M. 6. Dodo D. 12. El Wahsh O. 20. Gaber I. 92. Thiam I. 27. Abdelfattah K.	1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 26. El Gazar A. 36. Kouka A. 13. Ateya M. 21. Mahmoud A. 10. Bakrar M. 25. Zizo 17. Bencharki A. 9. Benjdida S.
Substitutes
1. Aboul-Saoud M. (G) 28. Adel I. 7. Baniouwda A. 24. Hesham N. 99. Hussein S. 19. Ouled Behi A. 17. Refaat M. 15. Sandouqa M. 4. Shakoush H.	27. Abdallah A. 19. Afsha 22. Ashour E. 14. El Shahat H. 2. Marei Y. 8. Reda A. 5. Reyad H. 31. Shobeir O. (G) 12. Tawfik A.
Coaches
Komsan S.	Ammouta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Dodo D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Gaber I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dodo D. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
49', El Gazar A. ↓, Reyad H. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Zizo (Penalty Awarded),
59', Bencharki A. ↓, Ashour E. ↑,
59', Mahmoud A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
70', Zizo 🟨,
75', Thiam I. ↓, Hussein S. ↑,
75', Kamal O. ↓, Sandouqa M. ↑,
82', Kahraba ↓, Shakoush H. ↑,
84', Bakrar M. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
84', Benjdida S. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
85', Ochaya J. ↓, Hesham N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1.

In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:42. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.4:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Ahly	5	4	1	0	9:3	6	13
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al Ahly Cairo - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
02.09.26	El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Masry	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Modern Sport	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWT
- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League
03.09.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	ZED - Al Ahly Cairo	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Al Ahly Cairo - ENPPI	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Barcelona - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
20.05.26	Al Masry - Al Ahly Cairo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
05.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	1:3
Egyptian League Cup
30.12.25	Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:3
Egyptian Premier League
04.08.24	Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab	4:0
04.11.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	1:2
16.07.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	1:4
07.03.23	Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1
Egyptian Cup
27.11.22	Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1 penalties

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