Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.75	2.1
	2.79	4.01	2.11
	2.92	3.99	2.02	Watch
	2.82	3.76	2.09	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.42)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
32.3%

Draw
24%

Bentleigh Greens
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

23.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

22.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northcote City's form might have worsened.

Bentleigh Greens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northcote City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bentleigh Greens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 2.

Northcote City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bentleigh Greens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Northcote City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
03.05.25	Manningham United - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Northcote City - Brunswick City	4:1 ✺
14.04.25	Kingston City - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Northcote City	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWW
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian Victoria Premier League
02.05.25	Bentleigh Greens - North Sunshine Eagles	3:1 ✺
25.04.25	Bentleigh Greens - Manningham United	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Brunswick City - Bentleigh Greens	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Bentleigh Greens - Kingston City	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Bulleen Lions - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
14.06.24	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	2:0
Australian NPL Victoria
23.06.18	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	0:0
16.03.18	Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City	3:1
13.08.16	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	2:1
13.05.16	Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City	5:0
15.08.15	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	0:1
08.05.15	Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City	4:0

Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide