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Current Win Probability
Eastleigh 41.8%
Draw 28.6%
Dagenham & Redbridge 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
26.3%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
53.8%
7.7%
Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Dagenham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 22. Close B. 5. Fernandez L. 6. Francillette L. 14. Hodson L. 31. Maher N. 20. Quigley S. (C) 23. Semenyo J. 10. Shade T. 18. Waruih A.
12. Harvey N. (G) 24. Clayton R. 5. Eastman T. (C) 4. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 30. Kalambayi P. 28. Khaleel R. 15. Loupalo-Bi A. 11. N'Guessan C. 7. Pereira D. 21. Rutherford O.
Substitutes
4. Humphries L. 7. Maguire C. 19. Panter C. 13. Scott T. (G) 8. Taylor J. 17. Uchegbulam J. 30. Underhill C.
22. Day H. 2. Francis C. 33. Jones L. (G) 23. Lawless C. 8. Rees J. 16. Remy S. 17. Rendall T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽,
12', Clayton R. 🟨,
13', 2 - 0, Maher N. ⚽,
28', Hessenthaler J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Semenyo J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
46', N'Guessan C. ↓, Rees J. ↑,
56', Taylor J. ↓, Uchegbulam J. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Francillette L. ⚽, Shade T. (A),
71', Close B. ↓, Humphries L. ↑,
75', Khaleel R. ↓, Francis C. ↑,
75', Pereira D. ↓, Remy S. ↑,
77', Quigley S. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
84', Shade T. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,
86', Hessenthaler J. ↓, Lawless C. ↑,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches New York won 2.
New York is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chicago is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Chicago have a series of home games.
In this match New York is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches New York won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 2258:2180 (average 112.9:109).
Including matches at home between the teams New York won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1144:1060 (average 114.4:106).