The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutton United 44.1%
Draw 27.5%
Eastleigh 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
25.9%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
25.6%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.
Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Sutton United - Eastleigh Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Eastleigh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
1. Brits S. (G) 12. Urpens D. 5. Nightingale W. 4. Kirk A. 27. Brookes B. 8. Taylor J. (C) 19. Knight J. 7. Osadebe E. 10. Carter C. 9. Babalola T. 16. Njoku B.
15. Jeffries J. (G) 14. Akoto N. 6. Eweka T. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 21. Khumbeni N. 4. Sidwell H. 24. Cousins J. (C) 11. Blair A. 8. Lundstram J. 10. Randall W. 12. Hawkins O.
Substitutes
26. Amartey B. 6. Bell C. 17. Byron T. 11. Folarin S. 20. Francis J. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Topalloj B.
5. Bakare I. 34. Bridi G. (G) 7. Dickov M. 9. Duku I. 23. Ghandour H. 27. Johnson R. 17. Rankine D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Osadebe E. ⚽, Babalola T. (A),
17', Khumbeni N. ↓, Johnson R. ↑,
22', 2 - 0, Njoku B. ⚽,
41', Knight J. 🟨,
42', Osadebe E. 🟨,
42', Cousins J. 🟨,
45+2', Sidwell H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hawkins O. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Ghandour H. ⚽, Blair A. (A),
60', Randall W. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
60', Cousins J. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
64', Nightingale W. 🟨,
70', Knight J. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
70', Brookes B. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
71', Njoku B. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
84', Carter C. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
88', Sidwell H. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
90+2', Eweka T. 🟨,
90+2', Akoto N. 🟨,
90+2', Osadebe E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 3.
Recent form of Sutton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Eastleigh has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Sutton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sutton could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Sutton United - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.94%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Eastleigh - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.