Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Ebro		Épila

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.4
	1.65	3.28	5.09
	1.64	3.39	5.46
	1.59	3.44	5.58
	1.62	3.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	5.39 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
56%

Draw
27.1%

Épila
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ebro - Épila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Tapia R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Lobo A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Vela A. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Vela A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Ebro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Épila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Épila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ebro to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.02.25	Ebro - Fuentes	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Utrillas - Ebro	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Ebro - Calamocha	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ebro - Atlético Monzón	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Brea - Ebro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.02.25	Épila - Cuarte	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Belchite - Épila	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	La Almunia - Épila	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Épila - Tamarite	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Épila - Fuentes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.10.24	Épila - Ebro	1:1
25.05.24	Ebro - Épila	2:0
19.05.24	Épila - Ebro	0:2
12.05.24	Ebro - Épila	1:2
21.01.24	Épila - Ebro	1:2

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