Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Ebro		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.84	3.2	4.1
	1.86	3.1	4.25
	1.85	3.2	4.23	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.93
	1.84	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.27)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	4.1 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
49.2%

Draw
28.7%

Binéfar
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Binéfar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Binéfar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebro - Binéfar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Ebro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Binéfar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ebro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ebro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.12.24	Zuera - Ebro	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Ebro - Huesca B	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Fraga - Ebro	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Ebro - Caspe	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Ebro - La Almunia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.12.24	Binéfar - Cuarte	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Belchite - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Binéfar - Épila	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Tamarite - Binéfar	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Binéfar - Fuentes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
11.02.24	Binéfar - Ebro	1:6
23.09.23	Ebro - Binéfar	2:1

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