Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Ebro		Numancia

	1	X	2
	4	2.75	1.98
	4.2	2.6	2.05
	3.8	2.9	2
	4.43	2.7	2.14
	4.2	3	1.83
	3.92	3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.28)	2.83 ↓ (3)	2.01 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
22.3%

Draw
32.3%

Numancia
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

30.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

24%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebro - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.12.21	Brea - Ebro	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Ebro - Huesca B	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Ebro - Celta de Vigo	0:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.11.21	Ejea - Ebro	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Ebro - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.12.21	Numancia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Tarazona - Numancia	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Numancia - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Andratx - Numancia	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Numancia - CE Europa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTWL

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