Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Ebro		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.85	2.9	2.02
	3.55	3	2.03
	4.02	2.99	2.05
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.75	3.18	1.95
	3.55	3.05	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.09)	3 ↑ (2.98)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
25.2%

Draw
30.4%

Valencia B
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

30.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Ebro - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebro won 3.

Ebro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ebro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Valencia B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ebro won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.12.22	Atlético Saguntino - Ebro	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Teruel - Ebro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Ebro - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Prat - Ebro	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Ebro - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLTT
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.12.22	Valencia B - Teruel	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Espanyol B - Valencia B	0:6 ✺
20.11.22	Valencia B - Prat	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Badalona Futur - Valencia B	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Valencia B - Mallorca B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.12.19	Valencia B - Ebro	0:0
13.01.19	Ebro - Valencia B	2:1
25.08.18	Valencia B - Ebro	2:0
11.03.18	Ebro - Valencia B	1:0
22.10.17	Valencia B - Ebro	1:2
22.01.17	Ebro - Valencia B	1:1
03.09.16	Valencia B - Ebro	3:3

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