Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Teruel		Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.5
	1.78	2.95	5.1
	1.78	3.1	4.4
	1.81	3	5.22
	1.6	3.2	5.8
	1.76	3.16	4.8
	1.7	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	4.95 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
52.2%

Draw
29.4%

Ebro
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Teruel - Ebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Teruel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ebro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Teruel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ebro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Teruel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Teruel is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Teruel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Teruel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.22	Atlético Saguntino - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Teruel - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.22	Espanyol B - Teruel	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Teruel - Prat	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Badalona Futur - Teruel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLTW
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.22	Ebro - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Prat - Ebro	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Ebro - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Mallorca B - Ebro	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Ebro - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.02.22	Ebro - Teruel	2:0
10.10.21	Teruel - Ebro	1:0
05.05.19	Teruel - Ebro	4:1
16.12.18	Ebro - Teruel	2:1
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Ebro - Teruel	0:0

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