Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Bolivia	FBF Play, Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	SporTV 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Malaysia	Astro SuperSport 1
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports Extra 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar Plus+ 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
World	DirecTV Sports, El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz, Onefootball app


	Ecuador		Paraguay

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	8.5	Watch
	1.55	3.5	7.25
	1.58	3.6	8	Watch
	1.59	3.64	7.9
	1.59	3.63	6.88	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.8
	1.64	3.72	7.27	Watch
	1.58	3.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	7.45 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador
60.3%

Draw
26.8%

Paraguay
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

26.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.4%	23.1%	11.5%

Ecuador - Paraguay Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ecuador will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Paraguay will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ecuador: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 2. Torres F. Corinthians 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. Bayer Leverkusen 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 23. Caicedo M. Chelsea 7. Estupinan P. (C) Brighton 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 13. Valencia E. Internacional 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle	12. Fernandez R. (G) Botafogo RJ 3. Alderete O. Getafe 5. Fabian Balbuena Dynamo Moscow 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) Palmeiras 4. Caceres J. Lanus 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 6. Sandez A. Rosario Central 19. Enciso J. Brighton 18. Arce A. LDU Quito 10. Almiron M. Newcastle Utd
Substitutes
8. Campana L. Inter Miami 4. Jhoanner Chavez Lens 14. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 20. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 5. Ramirez C. Ferencvaros 12. Ramirez M. (G) Independiente del Valle 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 16. Sarmiento J. Burnley 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito 18. Vite P. Vancouver Whitecaps 9. Yeboah J. Venezia 15. Zambrano O. Hull City	11. Angel Romero Corinthians 23. Arzamendia S. Estudiantes L.P. 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 22. Espinola J. (G) CA Belgrano de Cordoba 8. Galarza M. Talleres Cordoba 17. Oviedo A. Bolivar 21. Pitta I. Cuiaba 13. Salcedo S. Newells Old Boys 9. Sanabria A. Torino 7. Sosa R. Nottingham 2. Velazquez G. Newells Old Boys 20. Villasanti M. Gremio
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Alfaro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Caicedo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paez K. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
46', Preciado A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
66', Plata G. ↓, Campana L. ↑,
67', Enciso J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
67', Arce A. ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
75', Almiron M. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
76', Bobadilla D. ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
77', Estupinan P. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
77', Valencia E. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
83', Sandez A. 🟨,
83', Sandez A. ↓, Arzamendia S. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )).

In this match Ecuador is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ecuador won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Ecuador - Peru	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Copa America
04.07.24	Argentina - Ecuador	2:1 penalties ✺
30.06.24	Mexico - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	Ecuador - Jamaica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTW
- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Copa America
02.07.24	Costa Rica - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4 ✺
24.06.24	Colombia - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Paraguay - Ecuador	3:1
02.09.21	Ecuador - Paraguay	2:0
23.03.17	Paraguay - Ecuador	2:1
24.03.16	Ecuador - Paraguay	2:2
26.03.13	Ecuador - Paraguay	4:1

Ecuador - Paraguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide