Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:30	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	01:30	Arena Sport 2
Malaysia	07:30	Astro SuperSport 1
Poland	01:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	00:30	Sport TV5
Russia	02:30	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	01:30	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	01:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Ukraine	02:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	23:30	Fanatiz


	Uruguay		Paraguay

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.49	4	6.75
	1.53	4	7.5
	1.51	4.05	7.8
	1.5	4.05	7.22	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.51	4.03	7.65	Watch
	1.53	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	7.24 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
63.1%

Draw
23.7%

Paraguay
13.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	16%	0%

Uruguay - Paraguay Predictions

Users Predictions: Uruguay will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 22. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 3. Caceres S. Club America 6. Olaza L. Krasnodar 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 15. Valverde F. Real Madrid 10. Rodriguez B. Club America 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 9. Suarez L. (C) Inter Miami	12. Fernandez R. (G) Botafogo RJ 2. Velazquez G. Newells Old Boys 3. Alderete O. Getafe 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) Palmeiras 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 8. Gomez D. Inter Miami 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 10. Almiron M. Newcastle Utd 21. Pitta I. Cuiaba 19. Enciso J. Brighton
Substitutes
2. Bueno S. Wolves 4. Fonseca N. River Plate 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 7. Martinez E. Midtjylland 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 19. Miguel Merentiel Boca Juniors 17. Olivera M. Napoli 13. Rodriguez J. Vasco 18. Rodriguez L. Bahia 14. Sant'Anna A. River Plate 16. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 21. Torres F. Orlando City	18. Arce A. LDU Quito 4. Caceres J. Lanus 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 7. Cuenca Martinez H. F. AC Milan 22. Espinola J. (G) CA Belgrano de Cordoba 5. Fabian Balbuena Dynamo Moscow 17. Kaku Al Ain 20. Riveros B. Talleres Cordoba 9. Sanabria A. Torino 24. Sosa R. Nottingham 13. Viera W. Cerro Porteno 23. Villasanti M. Gremio
Coaches
Bielsa M.	Alfaro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gustavo Gomez 🟨,
34', Cubas A. 🟨,
37', Valverde F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marichal N. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
56', Cubas A. ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
59', Pellistri F. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
61', Gomez D. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
61', Pitta I. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
77', Olaza L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
79', Bueno S. 🟨,
79', Ugarte M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
80', Rodriguez B. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
82', Almiron M. ↓, Kaku ↑,
82', Bobadilla D. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
84', Nandez N. 🟨,
85', Suarez L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 4.

Uruguay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Uruguay is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay
Friendly
01.09.24	Guatemala - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Copa America
13.07.24	Canada - Uruguay	2:3 penalties ✺
10.07.24	Uruguay - Colombia	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties ✺
01.07.24	USA - Uruguay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW
- Paraguay
Copa America
02.07.24	Costa Rica - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4 ✺
24.06.24	Colombia - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.06.24	Panama - Paraguay	0:1 ✺
11.06.24	Chile - Paraguay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
27.01.22	Paraguay - Uruguay	0:1
Copa America
28.06.21	Uruguay - Paraguay	1:0
FIFA World Cup
03.06.21	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0
05.09.17	Paraguay - Uruguay	1:2
06.09.16	Uruguay - Paraguay	4:0
Copa America
20.06.15	Uruguay - Paraguay	1:1
FIFA World Cup
22.03.13	Uruguay - Paraguay	1:1

Uruguay - Paraguay