Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank Sports Centre (Edinburgh)


	Edinburgh City		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.70	3.00
	2.00	3.30	3.10
	1.98	3.05	3.35
	2.17	3.72	2.86
	1.91	3.84	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.65	2.80
	2.06	3.82	3.10
	2.05	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.48)	3.57 ↓ (4.53)	3.07 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
44.7%

Draw
25.5%

Elgin City
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

14.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edinburgh City's form might have worsened.

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elgin City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Edinburgh City - Elgin City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Edinburgh City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weir M. (G) 19. Wilson S. 23. McGregor J. (C) 5. Grigor J. 14. Waugh R. 10. Jarvis J. 6. Leitch J. 11. Lawson I. 8. Leitch R. 7. Walker L. 20. North T.	1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 23. Grant M. 16. Hyde L. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 26. Booth L. 17. Willox K. 9. Hester K. 22. MacIver J.
Substitutes
18. Aiken M. 16. Allen G. 15. Brodie C. 17. Bunker C. 22. Dowie S. (G) 2. McGinn C. 4. Pitt C. 3. Walker J.	25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 11. Colloty O. 18. Cummings A. 20. MacDonald L. 14. Machado M. 24. Mackay L. 27. Morrison J. (G) 77. Scullion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', Grigor J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Murray J. ⚽, MacIver J. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Hyde L. ⚽, Grant M. (A),
31', 0 - 3, Grigor J. (Own goal),
37', McGregor J. 🟨,
39', Booth L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Grigor J. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
61', 0 - 4, Girvan K. ⚽, Neill M. (A),
62', Lawson I. 🟨,
64', North T. ↓, McGinn C. ↑,
65', Lawson I. ↓, Aiken M. ↑,
66', Willox K. ↓, Scullion L. ↑,
67', Jarvis J. ↓, Allen G. ↑,
77', Grant M. ↓, Cummings A. ↑,
77', Hester K. ↓, Colloty O. ↑,
83', Hyde L. ↓, Cairns O. ↑,
83', Booth L. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
87', Walker L. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
89', 0 - 5, MacIver J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 2.

In recent matches, Edinburgh City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elgin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Edinburgh City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Edinburgh City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Edinburgh City: 11.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
8	Edinburgh City	9	4	3	2	19:15	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Ayr United - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Edinburgh City - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Edinburgh City - Falkirk	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Raith Rovers - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWLL
- Elgin City
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Elgin City	5:0 ✺
18.07.26	Elgin City - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Elgin City - Peterhead	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Raith Rovers - Elgin City	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Nairn County - Elgin City	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
21.03.26	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	0:3
24.02.26	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	3:0
08.11.25	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	1:3
23.08.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	2:4
12.04.25	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	2:0
22.02.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	1:2
21.12.24	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	1:0

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