Match Info

SCOTLAND: Challenge Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4
	1.68	3.75	3.9
	1.75	4	4
	1.76	3.76	3.93
	1.72	3.87	4.02
	1.6	4.4	4
	1.75	3.92	3.98
	1.75	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)	3.96 ↓ (4)	3.98 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
53.7%

Draw
23.2%

Elgin City
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Kelty Hearts - Elgin City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Johnston C. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Johnston C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, Williamson S. ⚽, Mercer S. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Cameron B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
31.08.24	Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Arbroath - Kelty Hearts	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWWT
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
31.08.24	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.08.24	Elgin City - Banks O Dee	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.08.24	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Elgin City - East Fife	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
16.07.24	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	2:1 penalties
Scottish League Two
19.03.22	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	0:0
05.02.22	Kelty Hearts - Elgin City	4:0
25.01.22	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	2:0
11.09.21	Kelty Hearts - Elgin City	1:1
Scottish League Cup
20.07.21	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	1:3

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