The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kelty Hearts 29.9%
Draw 25.7%
Elgin City 44.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
25%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
24.9%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Kelty Hearts - Elgin City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1.
In recent outings, Kelty Hearts has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Elgin is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Kelty Hearts has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Elgin holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Kelty Hearts has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kelty Hearts against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 2.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Elgin City
11
5
3
3
27:17
10
18
5
Kelty Hearts
11
5
0
6
16:21
-5
15
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Elgin City: 12.1% Kelty Hearts: 8.41%
Last Results with these Odds
Kelty Hearts - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Elgin City - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.