Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 5

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Egersund		Arendal

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.37	3.49	2.7
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.3	3.66	2.64
	2.4	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.19)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	2.58 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
38.8%

Draw
26.1%

Arendal
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

24.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Egersund - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Egersund won 1.

Egersund in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Arendal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arendal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Egersund won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Egersund won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.04.23	Ørn-Horten - Egersund	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Egersund - Lyn	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Egersund - Vålerenga 2	5:0 ✺
10.04.23	Vard Haugesund - Egersund	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Egersund	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWWWW
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.05.23	Arendal - Vålerenga 2	11:0 ✺
22.04.23	Fram Larvik - Arendal	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Arendal - Grorud	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Kjelsås - Arendal	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Skeid - Arendal	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.10.22	Arendal - Egersund	1:0
18.04.22	Egersund - Arendal	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.11.21	Arendal - Egersund	5:2
21.07.21	Egersund - Arendal	3:0
Club Friendly
05.06.21	Egersund - Arendal	0:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.10.20	Arendal - Egersund	1:1
22.08.20	Egersund - Arendal	1:1

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