Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 8

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: B&G Parken (Egersund)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Egersund		Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.33
	1.7	4.05	4.25	Watch
	1.72	4.05	4.54
	1.73	3.72	4.48	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.71	3.92	4.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.87 ↑ (3.81)	4.35 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
54.6%

Draw
24%

Lyn
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

21.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egersund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Egersund - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Egersund will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Lyn will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyn: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 21. Eggen K. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 17. Westerlund S. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 22. Tadesse H. 27. Vatne S. 16. Ekeland J. 9. Kapskarmo O. 7. Tornvig N.	1. Pedersen A. (G) 55. Haugen S. 4. Sell W. (C) 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 7. Monglo I. 22. Kurtovic W. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.
Substitutes
12. Bergene S. (G) 28. Chrupalla P. 91. Davis S. 25. Gregersen J. 20. Hokstad P. 18. Hovland P. 2. Kleppa H. 10. Michalsen S. R. 6. Saetherbo K.	25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 26. Sawaneh E. 21. Skaug J. 30. Sock F. 5. Vik I.
Coaches
Johansen M.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Midtskogen A. 🟨,
25', Ekeland J. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Westerlund S. 🟨,
71', Johansen M. ↓, Sawaneh E. ↑,
77', Westerlund S. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
77', Vatne S. ↓, Hovland P. ↑,
84', Saetherbo K. 🟨,
84', Eggen K. ↓, Kleppa H. ↑,
84', Tornvig N. ↓, Michalsen S. R. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 1.

Recent performances by Egersund have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Egersund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Egersund is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Egersund won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Egersund	4:2 ✺
11.05.26	Egersund - Odd	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Egersund - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Egersund - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Lyn - Kongsvinger	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Raufoss - Lyn	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
15.11.25	Egersund - Lyn	3:2
24.09.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.25	Lyn - Egersund	1:1
26.07.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:5
02.10.24	Lyn - Egersund	2:1
04.05.24	Egersund - Lyn	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.08.23	Lyn - Egersund	2:1

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