Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Egypt		Morocco

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.25
	3.85	2.7	2.38	Watch
	3.65	2.8	2.29
	3.87	2.85	2.36
	3.25	2.75	2.45	Watch
	3.7	2.86	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.28)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	2.33 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egypt
25.8%

Draw
33.7%

Morocco
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

34.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egypt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	49.1%	30.2%

Egypt - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 11 - 20.8%). Morocco will win (votes: 16 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 49.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.6% – 62.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Egypt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morocco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morocco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Egypt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations
26.01.22	Ivory Coast - Egypt	0:1 penalties ✺
19.01.22	Egypt - Sudan	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Guinea Bissau - Egypt	0:1 ✺
11.01.22	Nigeria - Egypt	1:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
18.12.21	Egypt - Qatar	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL
- Morocco
Africa Cup of Nations
25.01.22	Morocco - Malawi	2:1 ✺
18.01.22	Gabon - Morocco	2:2 ✺
14.01.22	Morocco - Comoros	2:0 ✺
10.01.22	Morocco - Ghana	1:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
11.12.21	Morocco - Algeria	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
18.08.17	Morocco - Egypt	3:1
13.08.17	Egypt - Morocco	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
29.01.17	Egypt - Morocco	1:0

Egypt - Morocco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide