Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Egüés		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.28
	4.17	2.63	2.17	Watch
	2.87	3.18	2.28
	2.76	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.78)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egüés
29.3%

Draw
29.8%

Peña Sport
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-2%)

Egüés - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 🟥,
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egüés won 2.

Egüés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peña Sport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peña Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Egüés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Egüés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Egüés
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Egüés - FC Andorra	1:5 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.10.25	Huarte - Egüés	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Egüés - Cortes	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Egüés - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pamplona - Egüés	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.10.25	Peña Sport - Huarte	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Izarra - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Txantrea - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Peña Sport - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.05.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:1
17.05.25	Peña Sport - Egüés	1:0
05.04.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:0
25.02.23	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:2
29.10.22	Peña Sport - Egüés	0:1
11.01.20	Egüés - Peña Sport	2:0

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