Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 14 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Ejea (Ejea de los Caballeros)


	Ejea		Hércules

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	2.05
	4	3.1	2.05
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.88	2.98	2.04
	3.97	3.07	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	4.12	3.13	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.15)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ejea
23.8%

Draw
30.3%

Hércules
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ejea's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Ejea - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Troya D. (G) 11. Carbonell L. 10. Carrasco S. 15. Diaby H. 4. Ginoves A. 16. Hakim 8. Iglesias D. 7. Lopez R. 17. Rodri 3. Sola A. 14. Tudela J.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito (C) 22. Aranda A. 8. Artiles J. 2. Cantero R. 14. Garcia M. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 17. Mendes M. 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 21. Retu 20. Sotillos A.
Substitutes
1. Acin Y. (G) 18. Alvarez Jorge 12. Boudaoud I. 22. Bravo M. 21. Espiau Martin A. 20. Fadel I. 9. Fedior B. 19. Gabri Palmas 5. Mingotes E. 23. Santana P. 2. Sola Villalba R.	16. Angong F. 6. Colomina R. 9. Coscia A. 24. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 19. Mangada C. 4. Montoro A. 12. Richmond S. 18. Soldevila O. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Retu 🟨,
45', Lopez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
59', Hakim 🟨,
64', Moreno Sanchez J. ↓, Soldevila O. ↑,
64', Alvarito ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
69', Lopez R. ↓, Fedior B. ↑,
70', Carbonell L. ↓, Gabri Palmas ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽, Fedior B. (A),
73', Aranda A. ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
83', Rodri ↓, Boudaoud I. ↑,
84', Retu ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
87', Carrasco S. ↓, Fadel I. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Mangada C. 🟨,
90+4', Boudaoud I. 🟨,

Preview

Ejea is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hércules is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ejea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hércules will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ejea won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ejea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.11.24	Eibar B - Ejea	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Ejea - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Teruel - Ejea	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Izarra - Ejea	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Ejea - Gernika	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Hércules	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Hércules	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Algeciras - Hércules	2:3 ✺
06.10.24	Hércules - Antequera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.01.20	Hércules - Ejea	2:2
13.04.19	Ejea - Hércules	0:0
25.11.18	Hércules - Ejea	2:0

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