Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Saiz F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Algeciras		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.55
	2.60	2.95	2.50
	2.72	3	2.52
	2.76	3.05	2.54
	2.75	3.12	2.6	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.55	2.99	2.55
	2.7	3.05	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
33.9%

Draw
30.2%

Hércules
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Algeciras - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Carmona F. 4. Coch A. 3. Marquez J. 20. Alamo J. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 18. Martinez P. 7. Garcia J. 19. Iglesias D. Y. 9. Rubio R.	13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. (C) 5. Cantero R. 23. Jimenez J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 18. Fidalgo A. 7. Obeng I. 14. Ben Hamed N. 22. Narro V. 11. Jimenez A.
Substitutes
14. Almeida D. 17. Aviles J. 6. Castro O. 10. Garrido D. 5. Gomez A. 29. Herrero E. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 23. Riley J. 26. Rubio J. 15. Ruiz V.	31. Abdelilah H. 17. Antonin 12. de Palmas R. 20. Escudero A. 21. Galvan J. 16. Gismera A. 26. Gutierrez S. 3. Lopez D. 10. Soldevila O. 19. Sol F. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 28. Valverde J.
Coaches
Colunga A.	Company B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Coch A. 🟨,
29', Jimenez A. 🟨,
34', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
38', Marquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Rubio R. ⚽, Martinez P. (A),
53', Carmona F. 🟨,
58', Obeng I. ↓, Antonin ↑,
62', Coch A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
63', Narro V. 🟨,
66', Jimenez A. ↓, Soldevila O. ↑,
66', Narro V. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
67', Adot Barandiaran P. A. 🟨,
70', Martinez P. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
70', Turrillo I. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
76', Castro O. 🟨,
81', Fidalgo A. ↓, Abdelilah H. ↑,
81', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
83', Iglesias D. Y. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Aviles J. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
90+2', Sol F. 🟨,
90+5', Sol F. 🟨,
90+7', Escudero A. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 6th).

In recent outings, Algeciras has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hércules is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Algeciras has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Algeciras against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Algeciras	9	4	1	4	13:13	0	13
10	Hercules	9	4	1	4	8:11	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Algeciras - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Hércules - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.26	CE Europa - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Algeciras - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.26	Hércules - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hércules - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Águilas - Hércules	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Algeciras - Hércules	0:2
12.09.25	Hércules - Algeciras	0:1
11.05.25	Hércules - Algeciras	1:2
11.10.24	Algeciras - Hércules	2:3

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