Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ejea		Leioa

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Ejea
45.8%

Draw
31.8%

Leioa
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

26.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

21.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ejea's form might have worsened.

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (+24%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ejea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Ejea is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leioa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ejea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ejea is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.04.21	Ejea - Alavés B	2:1 ✺
07.04.21	Barakaldo - Ejea	1:2 ✺
31.03.21	Osasuna B - Ejea	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	Ejea - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Ejea - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.04.21	Leioa - Izarra	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Haro Deportivo - Leioa	2:0 ✺
07.04.21	Leioa - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
28.03.21	Barakaldo - Leioa	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Leioa - Laredo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Ejea - Leioa