Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Ekranas		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.30	1.93
	3.75	3.40	1.82
	3.65	3.37	1.89
	3.54	3.31	1.97	Watch
	3.45	3.30	1.85
	3.07	3.58	2.10
	3.75	3.4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.82)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekranas
25.9%

Draw
26.8%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekranas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Ekranas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 2.

Ekranas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atmosfera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atmosfera has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atmosfera is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ekranas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Ekranas - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Ekranas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Garliava	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
01.11.25	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:3
21.06.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	5:0
19.10.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	0:1
02.06.24	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:3
21.10.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	1:4
18.06.22	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0

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