Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Police Academy Stadium (Cairo)


	El Dakhleya		ZED

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.52
	6	3.6	1.57
	7.52	3.77	1.51
	7.52	3.77	1.52
	7	3.7	1.44
	6.59	3.85	1.5	Watch
	6	3.65	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (4.92)	3.69 ↑ (3.27)	1.51 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Dakhleya
13.9%

Draw
25%

ZED
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

28.2%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

27.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Dakhleya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ZED's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Dakhleya than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZED, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.3%	86.7%

El Dakhleya - ZED Predictions

Users Predictions: ZED will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mostafa R. (G) 2. Yehia K. 27. Saber M. 23. El Henawy M. 12. Mansour M. 17. Samir E. 7. Dabo S. 30. Alfred F. 25. Chimezie K. 10. Abdelnaim I. 9. Fawzy M.	1. Lotfi A. (G) 8. Abdel Naby A. 4. Samir M. 5. Bakri A. 21. Ashraf M. 18. Ahmed El Sageery 17. Al Sakran A. R. 7. Atef A. 23. Saad M. 9. Hussein S. 20. Nabil M.
Substitutes
4. Abdelrahman R. 28. Afli A. 36. Akinmola K. 44. Ashraf M. 15. Emad A. 33. Hamed A. 1. Magdy M. (G) 14. Tarek Z.	12. Al Aash M. 16. Hossam A. (G) 24. Ismail M. 14. Okasha M. 32. Raafat K. 2. Reda M. 35. Sawaneh M. 25. Yalew A. 10. Ziko M.
Coaches
Merazik E.	Abdel-Aaty M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Yehia K. (Pen),
60', Nabil M. ↓, Raafat K. ↑,
60', Hussein S. ↓, Yalew A. ↑,
60', Al Sakran A. R. ↓, Ziko M. ↑,
68', Abdel Naby A. ↓, Reda M. ↑,
70', Fawzy M. ↓, Abdelrahman R. ↑,
72', Abdelrahman R. 🟨,
80', Mostafa R. 🟨,
81', Ashraf M. ↓, Al Aash M. ↑,
81', Bakri A. 🟨,
90', Dabo S. ↓, Akinmola K. ↑,
90+1', Abdelrahman R. ↓, Hamed A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 6).

El Dakhleya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches ZED is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ZED could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently El Dakhleya have a series of guest games.

Recently ZED have a series of home games.

In this match ZED is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches El Dakhleya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams El Dakhleya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Dakhleya
Egyptian Premier League
21.06.24	Al Ahly Cairo - El Dakhleya	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Smouha - El Dakhleya	3:2 ✺
Egyptian Cup
28.05.24	ZED - El Dakhleya	2:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
25.05.24	El Dakhleya - El Mokawloon El Arab	3:0 ✺
21.05.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Dakhleya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL
- ZED FC
Egyptian Premier League
18.06.24	ZED - Pharco	2:2 ✺
Egyptian Cup
28.05.24	ZED - El Dakhleya	2:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
20.05.24	ZED - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
09.05.24	Smouha - ZED	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
28.05.24	ZED - El Dakhleya	2:1 ET
Egyptian Premier League
27.12.23	ZED - El Dakhleya	3:1
Egyptian Division 2 - Group B
04.03.22	El Dakhleya - ZED	4:1
05.11.21	ZED - El Dakhleya	1:0

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