Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Cairo Military Academy Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	ZED		El Mokawloon El Arab

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	2.68	2.52	Watch
	3.26	2.65	2.78
	3.16	2.64	2.67	Watch
	3.2	2.5	2.5
	3.18	2.52	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.58)	2.6 ↓ (2.83)	2.61 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZED
29.1%

Draw
35.5%

El Mokawloon El Arab
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ZED's form might have worsened.

El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ZED, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ZED: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lotfi A. (C) 23. Alaa T. 4. Fathy A. 5. Tarek A. 24. Rabia M. 11. Saad M. 77. Saber M. 88. Kabaka 10. Hussein S. 17. Abdelrahman El Sakran 20. Alaa H.	18. Fawzi M. (G) 26. Kahraba 4. Hussein H. 3. Hamed M. 24. Hesham N. 31. Adel M. 28. Ouled Behi A. 6. Fouad A. 32. Faisal H. 9. Salim M. (C) 14. Gamal M.
Substitutes
18. Ahmed El Sageery 22. Bah M. 25. El Sayed Z. 19. Emad A. 30. Gamal A. 15. Ibrahim S. 7. Khalil R. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 12. Osama Nabih Y.	35. Abdelhafiz Y. 21. Abdellah I. 74. Abdelnasser M. 1. Aboul Saoud M. (G) 44. Hawash A. 13. Hozian M. 99. Mohamed H. 25. Ojera J. 17. Sobhi M.
Coaches
Shawky M.	Elsoudany S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Saber M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Fathy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fouad A. ↓, Hawash A. ↑,
62', Salim M. ↓, Ojera J. ↑,
62', Faisal H. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
62', Hussein S. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
62', Alaa H. ↓, Ahmed El Sageery ↑,
74', Ouled Behi A. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
81', Abdelrahman El Sakran ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
82', Alaa T. ↓, Bah M. ↑,
86', Fawzi M. ↓, Aboul Saoud M. ↑,
89', Rabia M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZED won 1.

ZED is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, El Mokawloon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ZED won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
10	ZED	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

ZED - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

El Mokawloon El Arab - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZED FC
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	ZED - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
18.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - ZED	1:3 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
11.03.26	ZED - Modern Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWW
- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
21.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Petrojet	2:2 ✺
05.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1
26.03.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
09.08.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	0:2
03.05.24	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1
22.10.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	3:3
29.09.20	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	6:0
11.01.20	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:3

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