Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	El Ejido		CP Almería

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.19	3.1	3.15
	2.15	3.12	3.33
	2.18	3.21	3.16	Watch
	2.14	3.24	3.1
	2.19	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
42.1%

Draw
29%

CP Almería
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

CP Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CP Almería than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

El Ejido - CP Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Checa P. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 3 - 1, ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,
89', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

El Ejido has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

CP Almería is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CP Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

El Ejido will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.03.25	Real Jaén - El Ejido	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	El Ejido - Mancha Real	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Ejido	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	El Ejido - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Torreperogil - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLL
- CP Almería
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.02.25	CP Almería - Huétor Vega	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Arenas Armilla - CP Almería	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	CP Almería - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Mancha Real - CP Almería	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	CP Almería - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
27.10.24	CP Almería - El Ejido	1:0
25.02.24	El Ejido - CP Almería	0:1
15.10.23	CP Almería - El Ejido	2:0
27.02.20	El Ejido - CP Almería	1:0
13.10.19	CP Almería - El Ejido	1:4

El Ejido - CP Almería: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide