Match Info
SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 23Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
El Ejido |
|
Mancha Real |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.9 |
2.95 |
2.41 |
|
 |
2.95 |
2.72 |
2.5 |
|
 |
3.09 |
3.09 |
2.37 |
|
 |
2.9 |
2.85 |
2.48 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.4) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
2.44 ↓
(2.63) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Ejido
30.9% | Draw
31.5% | Mancha Real
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Ejido's form might have worsened.Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-1.6%)El Ejido - Mancha Real Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Padilla J. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Navarro R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 3, Pena A. ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 4, Corral P. (Pen),
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).Last 5 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 2. Two teams are in a poor body shape now. Mancha Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 10 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:7 (average 0.8:0.7). Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.4:0.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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