Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 25

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	El Ejido		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.51
	6.37	3.64	1.48
	6.37	3.64	1.49
	6.69	3.74	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↓ (7.32)	3.66 ↓ (4.5)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
14.4%

Draw
24.8%

Juventud de Torremolinos
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

20.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

19.7%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Torremolinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Torremolinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

El Ejido has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Juventud de Torremolinos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Juventud de Torremolinos is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.03.24	Torredonjimeno - El Ejido	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	El Ejido - CP Almería	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Almeria B - El Ejido	5:0 ✺
11.02.24	El Ejido - Torre Del Mar	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Mancha Real - El Ejido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.03.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Malaga B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	CP Almería - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Torre Del Mar - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
29.10.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Ejido	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.04.23	El Ejido - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1
20.11.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Ejido	0:1
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Ejido	2:1

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