Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 10

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	El Ejido		Vélez

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.23	2.9	3.15
	2.35	2.77	3.44
	2.3	2.76	3.38
	2.25	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	3.29 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
40.4%

Draw
32%

Vélez
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

29.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Ejido - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches El Ejido is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Ejido could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

El Ejido will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.10.22	Xerez Deportivo - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	El Ejido - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Recreativo Huelva - El Ejido	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	El Ejido - Racing Cartagena MM	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Cartagena B - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLL
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.10.22	Vélez - Antequera	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Cadiz CF B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Vélez - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Betis B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.01.20	El Ejido - Vélez	2:1
01.09.19	Vélez - El Ejido	2:1

El Ejido - Vélez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

El Ejido - Vélez Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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