Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Vélez		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.19	3.1	3.05
	2.42	2.77	3.29
	2.23	3.13	3.08
	2.2	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.09 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
40.6%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético Sanluqueño
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Sanluqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.10.22	Betis B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Yeclano Deportivo - Vélez	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Mancha Real - Vélez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWT
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.10.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:3 ✺
25.09.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Racing Cartagena MM - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLW

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