Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 16

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	El Makarem de Mahdia		Sporting Ben Arous

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.78	2.72
	2.73	2.84	2.79
	2.73	2.67	2.83	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.63
	2.65	3.01	2.7
	2.71	2.66	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	2.79 ↓ (3.01)	2.75 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Makarem de Mahdia
34.1%

Draw
32.7%

Sporting Ben Arous
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sporting Ben Arous has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Ben Arous than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 1 - 0, Lazaar J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 1, Jebiniani M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent performances by EM Mahdia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting Ben Arous is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sporting Ben Arous may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Makarem de Mahdia
Tunisian Ligue 2
25.01.26	El Makarem de Mahdia - Hammam-Sousse	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Hammam-Lif - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	El Makarem de Mahdia - Kasserine	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.12.25	Océano Club de Kerkennah - El Makarem de Mahdia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Menzel Bourguiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWWLW
- Sporting Ben Arous
Tunisian Ligue 2
25.01.26	Sporting Ben Arous - Hammam-Lif	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Océano Club de Kerkennah - Sporting Ben Arous	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Sporting Ben Arous	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sporting Ben Arous - Tataouine	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Mégrine - Sporting Ben Arous	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
20.05.23	Sporting Ben Arous - El Makarem de Mahdia	2:0
04.01.23	El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous	2:0

El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide