Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Hammam-Lif		El Makarem de Mahdia

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.05	9
	1.31	4.58	9.14	Watch
	1.33	3.8	10
	1.32	4.1	10
	1.36	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	4.11 ↓ (4.35)	9.33 ↑ (9.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammam-Lif
68.2%

Draw
22.1%

El Makarem de Mahdia
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

21%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

15.4%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammam-Lif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammam-Lif than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hammam-Lif that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Hammam Lif - El Makarem de Mahdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Sfaxi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 and 9).

Hammam-Lif has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

EM Mahdia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Hammam-Lif has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hammam-Lif is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hammam-Lif won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammam-Lif won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammam-Lif
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Monastir - Hammam-Lif	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.12.25	Hammam-Sousse - Hammam-Lif	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hammam-Lif - Océano Club de Kerkennah	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Hammam-Lif	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- El Makarem de Mahdia
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	El Makarem de Mahdia - Kasserine	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.12.25	Océano Club de Kerkennah - El Makarem de Mahdia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Menzel Bourguiba	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Tataouine - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Mégrine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
16.03.25	Hammam-Lif - El Makarem de Mahdia	3:0
24.11.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Hammam-Lif	2:1
13.05.23	El Makarem de Mahdia - Hammam-Lif	2:1
25.12.22	Hammam-Lif - El Makarem de Mahdia	2:1

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