Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ismailia Stadium (Ismailia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Kahrabaa Ismailia		El Mokawloon El Arab

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.4	3	2.12	Watch
	3.81	3.14	2.22
	3.87	3.02	2.09	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.15
	3.48	2.98	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (4.02)	3.01 ↓ (3.14)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kahrabaa Ismailia
25.5%

Draw
30.7%

El Mokawloon El Arab
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

29.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

28.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kahrabaa Ismailia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Kahrabaa Ismailia - El Mokawloon El Arab Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kahrabaa Ismailia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. El Gabry A. (G) 2. Yehia K. 88. Namgbema L. 5. Elkhashab S. 14. Farouk M. 18. Abdelnaim I. 28. Aka S. 22. Sheta A. 13. Sulieman A. 25. Said M. 11. El Said O. (C)	1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 26. Kahraba 21. Abdellah I. 3. Hamed M. 23. Ochaya J. 12. El Wahsh O. 20. Gaber I. 10. Naguib S. 31. Adel M. 32. Faisal H. 25. Ojera J.
Substitutes
33. Abdelmoniem M. 20. Al Agouz S. 3. El Fayoumi E. 16. Hagras M. (G) 8. Hamza A. 10. Maradona A. 66. Medhat M. 7. Rahim M. A. 29. Shika M. E. S.	74. Abdelnasser M. 22. Antar M. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 14. Gamal M. 44. Hawash A. 13. Hozian M. 4. Hussein H. 28. Ouled Behi A. 17. Sobhi M.
Coaches
El Sayed R.	Elsoudany S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, El Wahsh O. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 1 - 1, Sulieman A. ⚽, Abdelnaim I. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Naguib S. ⚽, Gaber I. (A),
45+1', Ochaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', El Said O. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
62', Namgbema L. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
62', Said M. ↓, Maradona A. ↑,
69', Gaber I. 🟨,
70', Faisal H. ↓, Hussein H. ↑,
70', Adel M. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
70', Naguib S. ↓, Hawash A. ↑,
77', Farouk M. ↓, El Fayoumi E. ↑,
77', Ojera J. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
81', Gaber I. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
85', Sulieman A. ↓, Rahim M. A. ↑,
89', Hamed M. 🟨,
90', Hamed M. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Shika M. E. S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Hagras M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

El Mokawloon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kahrabaa Ismailia
Egyptian Premier League
18.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Haras El-Hodood	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	El Gouna - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Pharco	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Wadi Degla - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - National Bank of Egypt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTWL
- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
18.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Wadi Degla	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
27.09.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1
Egyptian Division 2 A
24.05.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1
19.01.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1

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