Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 20

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday


	El Porvenir		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.97	3	3.87
	1.97	2.9	3.87
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.96	3.08	3.82
	1.98	3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.77 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
46.1%

Draw
29.9%

Victoriano Arenas
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

El Porvenir - Victoriano Arenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Victoriano Arenas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

El Porvenir will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams El Porvenir won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Copa Argentina
29.05.24	El Porvenir - Godoy Cruz	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Primera C
24.05.24	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
10.05.24	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLW
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
25.05.24	Victoriano Arenas - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Sportivo Barracas - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Victoriano Arenas - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Deportivo Yupanqui - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Victoriano Arenas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
25.06.22	Victoriano Arenas - El Porvenir	1:1
20.02.22	El Porvenir - Victoriano Arenas	2:2
23.10.21	Victoriano Arenas - El Porvenir	3:1
27.06.21	El Porvenir - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
07.10.19	El Porvenir - Victoriano Arenas	0:3
03.04.19	El Porvenir - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
24.10.18	Victoriano Arenas - El Porvenir	2:3

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