Match Info

Primera C - Round 25

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	El Porvenir		Central Ballester

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.85	3.85
	2.02	2.74	4.20
	2.00	2.85	4.11	Watch
	1.98	2.70	4.00
	2.00	3.03	4.18
	1.95	2.85	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	2.84 ↓ (2.93)	4.04 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
45.6%

Draw
31.9%

Central Ballester
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

30.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

31.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

El Porvenir - Central Ballester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4.

El Porvenir is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Ballester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Ballester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, El Porvenir is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.3:0.1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
16.08.26	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	El Porvenir - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:3 ✺
04.08.26	El Porvenir - Fénix	0:0 ✺
28.07.26	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL
- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
15.08.26	Central Ballester - Leandro N. Alem	3:0 ✺
10.08.26	Fénix - Central Ballester	3:1 ✺
04.08.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Club Luján - Central Ballester	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Central Ballester - General Lamadrid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.04.26	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	1:2
21.10.24	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:1
19.05.24	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
13.11.23	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:3
31.07.23	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	1:0
28.05.23	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	2:0
21.03.16	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:0

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